August 04, 2004

Hamster Numbers: Estate Tax and Giving

From the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities:

  • "CBO finds that, as of 2000, repeal of the estate tax would have reduced charitable contributions made during life by between 6 percent and 11 percent. While a 6 percent to 11 percent reduction may not sound large, substantial amounts of donations are involved. CBO reports that charitable contributions from individuals totaled $196 billion in 2000. A reduction of 6 percent to 11 percent would shrink charitable contributions by approximately $11 billion to $21 billion."

  • "Bequests at death. CBO reports that estate tax repeal would have an even larger effect, in percentage terms, on bequests. Repeal of the estate tax in 2000 would have led to a reduction in charitable bequests of 16 percent to 28 percent, CBO estimates."

    Posted by Eric at 10:07 AM | Comments (19)

    Hamster Numbers: Estate Tax and Giving

    From the Center on Budget and Policy Priorities:

  • "CBO finds that, as of 2000, repeal of the estate tax would have reduced charitable contributions made during life by between 6 percent and 11 percent. While a 6 percent to 11 percent reduction may not sound large, substantial amounts of donations are involved. CBO reports that charitable contributions from individuals totaled $196 billion in 2000. A reduction of 6 percent to 11 percent would shrink charitable contributions by approximately $11 billion to $21 billion."

  • "Bequests at death. CBO reports that estate tax repeal would have an even larger effect, in percentage terms, on bequests. Repeal of the estate tax in 2000 would have led to a reduction in charitable bequests of 16 percent to 28 percent, CBO estimates."

    Posted by Eric at 10:07 AM | Comments (2)

    June 01, 2004

    Bill O'Reilly Distorts Gallup Poll

    On the May 26, 2004 episode of "The O'Reilly Factor," Bill O'Reilly had a segment on morality. In order to back up his claim that the country's moral fabric is coming apart, O'Reilly turned to a Gallup poll:

    O’REILLY: The belief that America is degenerating on a moral level is shared by both Republicans and Democrats. According to a new Gallup poll, 82 percent of Republicans and 78 percent of Democrats say that moral values in the U.S.A. are only fair or downright poor. 40 years ago, only 33 percent of Americans felt that way.
    The first part of the cite is correct. The second part of the cite, however, is pure spin. This is what the Gallup poll wrote:
    These findings come from Gallup's annual Values and Beliefs survey, conducted May 2-4. The question is a recent addition to the survey, and was first asked in May 2002. However, historical measures on this subject suggest that Americans have traditionally been concerned about the state of moral values in the nation.

    A 1965 Gallup Poll asked respondents to rate their degree of satisfaction with the "moral tone" of the nation, and found only 27% "extremely" or "considerably" satisfied, while 38% were "somewhat satisfied" and 33% were "not at all satisfied."

    Note this Gallup opinion: "However, historical measures on this subject suggest that Americans have traditionally been concerned about the state of moral values in the nation."

    Also, remember that the 82 / 78 number was a combination of 'fair' and 'poor.' With the 1965 numbers, you have 38% as 'somewhat satisfied' which is likely comparable to 'fair' and 33% 'not at all satisfied,' which is likely comparable to poor. Combined, it's 71% as a combination of 'fair' and 'poor.'

    In other words, O'Reilly compared two different things: the "fair/poor" part from May 2004, to just the "poor" from 1965.

    Posted by Eric at 10:30 PM | Comments (32)

    Bill O'Reilly Distorts Gallup Poll

    On the May 26, 2004 episode of "The O'Reilly Factor," Bill O'Reilly had a segment on morality. In order to back up his claim that the country's moral fabric is coming apart, O'Reilly turned to a Gallup poll:

    O’REILLY: The belief that America is degenerating on a moral level is shared by both Republicans and Democrats. According to a new Gallup poll, 82 percent of Republicans and 78 percent of Democrats say that moral values in the U.S.A. are only fair or downright poor. 40 years ago, only 33 percent of Americans felt that way.
    The first part of the cite is correct. The second part of the cite, however, is pure spin. This is what the Gallup poll wrote:
    These findings come from Gallup's annual Values and Beliefs survey, conducted May 2-4. The question is a recent addition to the survey, and was first asked in May 2002. However, historical measures on this subject suggest that Americans have traditionally been concerned about the state of moral values in the nation.

    A 1965 Gallup Poll asked respondents to rate their degree of satisfaction with the "moral tone" of the nation, and found only 27% "extremely" or "considerably" satisfied, while 38% were "somewhat satisfied" and 33% were "not at all satisfied."

    Note this Gallup opinion: "However, historical measures on this subject suggest that Americans have traditionally been concerned about the state of moral values in the nation."

    Also, remember that the 82 / 78 number was a combination of 'fair' and 'poor.' With the 1965 numbers, you have 38% as 'somewhat satisfied' which is likely comparable to 'fair' and 33% 'not at all satisfied,' which is likely comparable to poor. Combined, it's 71% as a combination of 'fair' and 'poor.'

    In other words, O'Reilly compared two different things: the "fair/poor" part from May 2004, to just the "poor" from 1965.

    Posted by Eric at 10:30 PM | Comments (2)

    Rich Lowry Distorts MoveOn.org's "The Day After Tomorrow" Position

    In a recent column, Rich Lowry takes MoveOn.org to task for using the movie for its global warming campaign:

    The premise of "The Day After Tomorrow" is as laughable as its dialogue. "I think we've hit a critical desalination point" passes for snappy repartee in the film, as global warming melts the polar ice caps. This disrupts the Gulf Stream, plunging North America into a new ice age. Tidal waves devastate New York City, which is then buried under ice and snow (ensuring the defeat, by the way, of whoever is running City Hall, since New Yorkers would never tolerate a mayor who couldn't clear the streets after a snowstorm).

    Al Gore has given the movie two green thumbs up, and the left-wing group MoveOn.org is promoting it. Never mind that the movie's scenario is absurd. There is no such thing as a flash freeze that makes helicopters fall out of the air. Nor can an ice age descend in a matter of days. More sober environmentalists worry that the very ridiculousness of the film will discredit their cause ... "The Day After Tomorrow" might not be much of a movie, but it is useful for providing a glimpse into the soul of left-wing environmentalism. Pretty chilling.

    Reading the entire column, one gets the sense that a group like MoveOn.org is supporting all premises of the science fiction movie. However, what Lowry fails to mention is that MoveOn.org notes the science fiction and over-the-top situations in the movie. MoveOn.org flyer (.pdf):
    The abrupt climate crisis in The Day After Tomorrow is over the top. A full-blown ice age could not happen. But global warming could bring dangerously cold temperatures in some areas, while others suffer severe storms, extreme heat, floods, droughts and water shortages
    And from a MoveOn.org petition:
    The new movie, "The Day After Tomorrow," is more science fiction than science fact. Yet the danger of a climate crisis is very real, and we've got to take action now to prevent it. Passing the McCain-Lieberman Climate Stewardship Act would be a big step in the right direction, creating national caps on the greenhouse gas emissions that cause global warming.
    So why be misleading? To make liberals and environmentalists sound nuts, even though most cited in news articles about the film note that the movie is science fiction, though global warming is real.

    Posted by Eric at 10:08 PM | Comments (6)

    Rich Lowry Distorts MoveOn.org's "The Day After Tomorrow" Position

    In a recent column, Rich Lowry takes MoveOn.org to task for using the movie for its global warming campaign:

    The premise of "The Day After Tomorrow" is as laughable as its dialogue. "I think we've hit a critical desalination point" passes for snappy repartee in the film, as global warming melts the polar ice caps. This disrupts the Gulf Stream, plunging North America into a new ice age. Tidal waves devastate New York City, which is then buried under ice and snow (ensuring the defeat, by the way, of whoever is running City Hall, since New Yorkers would never tolerate a mayor who couldn't clear the streets after a snowstorm).

    Al Gore has given the movie two green thumbs up, and the left-wing group MoveOn.org is promoting it. Never mind that the movie's scenario is absurd. There is no such thing as a flash freeze that makes helicopters fall out of the air. Nor can an ice age descend in a matter of days. More sober environmentalists worry that the very ridiculousness of the film will discredit their cause ... "The Day After Tomorrow" might not be much of a movie, but it is useful for providing a glimpse into the soul of left-wing environmentalism. Pretty chilling.

    Reading the entire column, one gets the sense that a group like MoveOn.org is supporting all premises of the science fiction movie. However, what Lowry fails to mention is that MoveOn.org notes the science fiction and over-the-top situations in the movie. MoveOn.org flyer (.pdf):
    The abrupt climate crisis in The Day After Tomorrow is over the top. A full-blown ice age could not happen. But global warming could bring dangerously cold temperatures in some areas, while others suffer severe storms, extreme heat, floods, droughts and water shortages
    And from a MoveOn.org petition:
    The new movie, "The Day After Tomorrow," is more science fiction than science fact. Yet the danger of a climate crisis is very real, and we've got to take action now to prevent it. Passing the McCain-Lieberman Climate Stewardship Act would be a big step in the right direction, creating national caps on the greenhouse gas emissions that cause global warming.
    So why be misleading? To make liberals and environmentalists sound nuts, even though most cited in news articles about the film note that the movie is science fiction, though global warming is real.

    Posted by Eric at 10:08 PM | Comments (3)

    GOP Chairman Decries "politics of negativity"

    In an email to supporters, RNC head Marc Racicot writes:

    You understand what is at stake in this election; and you understand that the politics of negativity and anger are no match for the politics of optimism and hope.
    However, he must have missed this front-page story in the Washington Post:
    Scholars and political strategists say the ferocious Bush assault on Kerry this spring has been extraordinary, both for the volume of attacks and for the liberties the president and his campaign have taken with the facts. Though stretching the truth is hardly new in a political campaign, they say the volume of negative charges is unprecedented -- both in speeches and in advertising.
    While the RNC website attacks John Kerry's patriotism, claiming that "Communist North Korea Is Only Government On Record Supporting John Kerry" and mockingly notes that John Kerry has a "French cousin."

    Posted by Eric at 09:49 PM | Comments (13)

    GOP Chairman Decries "politics of negativity"

    In an email to supporters, RNC head Marc Racicot writes:

    You understand what is at stake in this election; and you understand that the politics of negativity and anger are no match for the politics of optimism and hope.
    However, he must have missed this front-page story in the Washington Post:
    Scholars and political strategists say the ferocious Bush assault on Kerry this spring has been extraordinary, both for the volume of attacks and for the liberties the president and his campaign have taken with the facts. Though stretching the truth is hardly new in a political campaign, they say the volume of negative charges is unprecedented -- both in speeches and in advertising.
    While the RNC website attacks John Kerry's patriotism, claiming that "Communist North Korea Is Only Government On Record Supporting John Kerry" and mockingly notes that John Kerry has a "French cousin."

    Posted by Eric at 09:49 PM | Comments (3)